Scydar: Inflection Research

You’ve seen stocks multiply after you exited too early.

You’ve recognised the winners only after they became headlines.

You’ve chased momentum instead of spotting what changed underneath.

A better guide to investment research

Our research surfaces early fundamental shifts. You decide what it means for you.

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Review historical case studies

NVDA

2023-2024 Cycle

DAVE

2023-2024 Cycle

UBER

2024-2025 Cycle

Why I Built This

I spent years watching the same pattern repeat: incredible companies transforming their industries, and investors like me recognizing it only after the biggest moves were already behind them.

The winners were always obvious in hindsight. Tesla's production scaling. Netflix's streaming dominance. Amazon's cloud infrastructure. But by the time these stories made headlines, those quiet, critical moments when everything fundamentally shifted had already passed.

The question kept nagging me: what if I could systematically identify these inflection points as they were forming, not years later?

That's what led me to build this methodology. Not day-trading signals or momentum chasing, but systematic research focused on detecting fundamental shifts across public companies. The kind of shifts that often take three to five years to unfold but yet define entire future cycles of business transformation.

I'm not trying to time entries to the day, week or month. I’m not offering advice or promising results. I'm simply providing a compass I wish I had years ago: a structured, systematic and most importantly, a repeatable way to study companies at the beginning of their transformative journeys, with enough context to make informed, independent decisions as those stories develop.

— Ola, Founder

The Fundamental Shift Most Investors Miss

While markets fixate on quarterly results and daily moves, lasting transformations begin quietly when a company’s fundamentals start improving beneath the surface.

Tesla's inflection wasn't when it hit $1,000 per share. It was years earlier when production finally scaled. Netflix's inflection wasn't at $400—it was when streaming adoption reached the tipping point. Amazon's retail inflection happened long before most investors recognized e-commerce dominance.

Scydar’s framework tracks these fundamental shifts across public companies, revealing how change takes shape before it becomes consensus.

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Understanding Inflection Timelines

Markets are slow to recognize fundamental shifts. Here's how inflections typically develop:

Quarters 1-2: Early Signals

Metrics begin improving, but may still be noise

Our system tracks the data but does not alert yet

Quarters 3-4: Inflection "Arms"

Multiple consecutive periods start confirming the shift

This is when Scydar alerts you (subject to tier delay)

Months 6-12: Early Recognition

Institutional investors begin noticing

Price can move within a 15-30% range, but the thesis is often still early

Year 1-2: Broader Awareness

Mainstream coverage, analyst upgrades

The Inflection thesis gains wider validation.

Years 3-5: Full Realization

Fundamental transformation becomes broadly recognised.

Historical range: Multi-year compounding

Key insight: Even with our longest delay (90 days), you're still catching inflections in their early stages, months or years before full market recognition. The "arming" process itself takes multiple quarters, making tier delays small in real terms.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. For illustrative purposes only.

From Inflection to Investment Decision

From systematic detection to independent decision-making

We Identify & Validate

Our three-layer process detects "armed" inflections. Companies where fundamentals have been improving over multiple quarters and meet our validation criteria.

What you see:

  • Which inflection type triggered
  • Signal strength assessment
  • Cyclicality risk rating
  • When the inflection armed

You Research & Evaluate

Access detailed research summaries with historical context, competitive analysis, and sector dynamics to inform your own evaluation.

What you get:

  • Inflection thesis overview
  • Historical pattern comparisons
  • Industry and competitive context
  • Key metrics to monitor

You Decide & Monitor

Use our research to inform your own investment process. Review updates quarterly as the data evolves.

Your responsibility:

  • Independent research
  • Risk assessment
  • Position sizing and timing
  • Consulting licensed professionals as needed

We provide systematic research. You make investment decisions. This is education, not advice.

Our Methodology in Action

Historical examples where Scydar’s framework detected inflection points before broader recognition.

Revenue Trajectory

NVIDIA

AI Infrastructure Inflection

Detected: April 2023 at $30-40 range

Market lag: Immediate (mega-cap)

Key signal: Q2 guidance beat consensus by 57%

Illustrative outcome: Subsequent price appreciation reflected the market’s repricing of long-term earnings power.

"AI compute demand would exceed supply for multiple years"

Featured Example
Operational Leverage

DAVE

Neobank Platform Profitability

Detected: March 2023 at $8-12 range

Market lag: 3-4 quarters (micro-cap)

Key signal: EBITDA -$25M → +$10M over four quarters

Illustrative outcome: Significant market re-rating followed as financial performance improved.

"Neobank could reach profitability without massive dilution"

Scale Economics

UBER

Ride-Share Platform Scale Economics

Detected: September 2024 at $60-$70 range

Market lag: 1-2 quarters (large-cap)

Key signal: First sustained profitability after 14 years

Illustrative outcome: Share performance reflected growing confidence in operating efficiency.

"Platform leverage would drive 40%+ margin expansion"

Key Pattern: Recognition Lag Inversely Correlated with Market Cap

NVIDIA (Mega):
1 quarter
UBER (Large):
2-3 quarters
DAVE (Micro):
3-4 quarters

Smaller capitalisations have generally shown longer recognition periods, allowing fundamentals to mature before widespread market attention.

Scydar’s methodology also analyses the full cycle including when inflections stabilise or reverse. Long-term tracking across companies such as Chipotle and Caterpillar shows recurring detection over multiple decades.

View Detailed Case Studies

See full methodology breakdown, timelines, and transparency report

⚠️ These examples are provided solely to illustrate our research methodology. They are not current recommendations or solicitations to buy or sell any securities. Past detection or historical performance does not guarantee future results. All investment decisions remain entirely your own.

Is Scydar's Inflection Research Right For You?

Our research is designed for patient, research-driven investors who think in years, not days

This IS For You If:

  • You think in 3-5 year timeframes and understand that meaningful value creation takes patience
  • You conduct your own due diligence and make independent investment decisions
  • You understand that time, patience and discipline creates an edge in identifying structural shifts
  • You prefer identifying potential inflections early, rather than reacting after momentum builds
  • You're comfortable with research and analysis as part of your investment process
  • You understand that fundamental shifts often take time to translate into market re-rating.

This ISN'T For You If:

  • You're looking for day trading signals or short-term momentum plays
  • You want guaranteed returns or promises of specific performance
  • You need real-time entry/exit timing down to the hour or day
  • You chase momentum after moves become obvious to the broader market
  • You need hand-holding investment advice telling you exactly what to buy and sell
  • You expect quick wins within weeks or months rather than years

Our Philosophy

We're researchers, not advisers. We identify and study inflection points; you make all investment decisions. If you're looking for someone to manage your money or tell you exactly what to do, we're not the right fit. If you want systematic and transparent research to enhance your own investment process, welcome to Scydar.

Research Access Tiers

Choose your timeline for accessing Scydar. Our tiered system ensures regulatory compliance while giving you time to conduct due diligence.

Monthly
Yearly (Save 20%)

Historical Research Archive

Free/year

£0 per month

90-day research delay

Perfect for learning our methodology and understanding inflection patterns

  • Deep dive into our historical methodology through case studies
  • See exactly how we identified inflections at companies before major appreciation periods
  • Educational content on fundamental analysis and pattern recognition
  • Monthly newsletter with market insights and methodology updates
Most popular

Current Research Access

£20/month

Billed monthly

35-day research delay

Access current inflection analysis with time to research and build positions thoughtfully

  • Everything in Basic
  • Current inflection research while opportunities are still developing
  • Expanded coverage with detailed inflection analysis
  • Track up to 2 companies for ongoing coverage updates
  • Weekly new coverage alerts and notifications
  • Exclusive analysis videos and commentary

Priority Research Access

£60/month

Billed monthly

21-day research delay

Earlier access to inflection research for more immediate portfolio consideration

  • Everything in Plus
  • Priority inflection research access while moves are still fresh
  • Premium research coverage with deep fundamental analysis
  • Unlimited company tracking for full portfolio coverage
  • Daily priority events feed with top inflection signals
  • Sector rotation alerts and portfolio insights
  • Advanced methodology scoring and risk breakdowns
  • Monthly portfolio reviews with exclusive commentary

Enterprise

Custom

Tailored for institutional investors

7-day research delay

Contact sales

Fastest research access with dedicated support and custom integrations

  • Everything in Pro
  • Fastest 7-day research access
  • Dedicated account manager
  • API access for data integration
  • Custom research requests
  • Priority phone/video support
  • White-label reporting options

Common Questions Before You Subscribe

We use a three-layer systematic process: (1) Quantitative screening monitors thousands of companies for improving fundamentals across multiple quarters, (2) Pattern validation ensures signals are durable and have structural support, and (3) Historical pattern matching compares current inflections to past precedents.

We track four types of inflections: revenue trajectory shifts, operational leverage improvements, market position gains, and strategic business transformations. An inflection becomes "armed" only when multiple metrics improve consistently over several periods and reach thresholds that historically correlate with sustained multi-year performance.

Finally, we manually validate every armed inflection for competitive positioning, management quality, industry context, and risk factors before it reaches you. This hybrid approach combines algorithmic pattern detection with human judgment.

Start Identifying Tomorrow’s Stories Today

Begin with our free Historical Research Archive. Learn our methodology and see how inflection analysis has identified key fundamental changes before broader market recognition.

No credit card required for Basic tier.

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© 2025 Scydar by Scydex Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Important Disclaimer: This platform provides research and educational content only. All content is for informational purposes and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments carry risk, including potential loss of principal. Consult qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. We are not registered investment advisors and do not provide investment advice.